Lol. How in the world did that happen? About a year ago I was asked to join NITLE’s prediciton markets. The idea is to predict whether something is more or less likely to happen. The price of the commodity represents the chance that the prediction will happen. An increasing price means the event is more likely to happen. The market direction gives the poser of the question a sense of what the traders think is going to happen and so in some sense answers their question.
I think I traded in three markets and have not touched anything in at least 8 months and now I have the most money. The buy and hold strategy at work. If only I was as successful with stocks.